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Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Miguel Tobon — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · QF 21:00

Predicted probability

Miguel Tobon

Colombia

36.45%

Average Odds

1.34  /  3.03

Market probability

69.34%  /  30.66%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1573), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1731 vs 1594) and a stronger return game (41.3% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1701.2 Elo 1572.9
1730.7 Elo (surface) 1594.4
94 Wins (Challenger) 60
85 Wins (surface) 40
8 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.068 Dominance ratio 0.961
162 Rank -
21.6 Age 20.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Miguel Tobon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Miguel Tobon

1st Serve In %

62.1%
53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%
28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%
56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%
55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%
30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.07
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Miguel Tobon

Break Points Saved %

62.1%
44.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.8%
66.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.6%
44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo and Miguel Tobon have never played each other.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

W W L L W W L L W W

Miguel Tobon — Last 10

W W L L W L W W L W