ATP tennis predict — Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · SF 17:30

Predicted probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

56.35%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

43.65%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.15

Market probability

56.58% / 43.42%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (41.3% vs 34.9% of return points won), a stronger serve (61.3% vs 60.6% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1711 vs 1710).

Player Comparison

1711.2 Elo 1709.5

1741.0 Elo (surface) 1727.5

95 Wins (Challenger) 137

86 Wins (surface) 129

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.068 Dominance ratio 0.886

162 Rank 230

21.6 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

1st Serve In %

62.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

56.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.0%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

56.1%

52.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1 – 1 Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Clay Brasilia CH · 2026-03-02

R16

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #210

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #205

3-6 6-3 6-4

7 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 0

81 Service Points 82

45 First Serve In 55

33 First Serve Won 37

20 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Florianopolis CH · 2024-04-01

QF

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #319

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #534

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

43 Service Points 47

30 First Serve In 27

24 First Serve Won 15

7 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 8