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Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Damir Dzumhur — Prediction

ATP Clay Umag · R16

Predicted probability

Damir Dzumhur

Bosnia and Herzeg.

46.37%

Average Odds

2.66  /  1.47

Market probability

35.59%  /  64.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1590.8 Elo 1655.6
1624.0 Elo (surface) 1706.5
5 Wins 252
4 Wins (surface) 82
5 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.943 Dominance ratio 1.058
173 Rank 108
21.4 Age 34.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Damir Dzumhur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Damir Dzumhur

1st Serve In %

62.1%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%
65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%
41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%
66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%
60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Damir Dzumhur

Break Points Saved %

62.1%
59.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
50.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 00 Damir Dzumhur

Clay Umag · 2026-07-15
0 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 1
60 Service Points 68
43 First Serve In 44
24 First Serve Won 27
4 Second Serve Won 13
1 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 6
18 Winners 17
42 Unforced Errors 31
1.5 Average Odds 2.7

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

W L L W W L W W L L

Damir Dzumhur — Last 10

L L W L L W W W W L