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Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Andres Andrade — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

41.77%

Average Odds

2.26  /  1.53

Market probability

40.37%  /  59.63%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1616 vs 1587), a stronger return game (41.0% vs 36.7% of return points won) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1615.6 Elo 1586.5
1546.3 Elo (surface) 1592.9
89 Wins (Challenger) 71
8 Wins (surface) 36
9 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 2
1.083 Dominance ratio 0.879
154 Rank 256
21.4 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

62.1%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%
57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%
63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

62.1%
80.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%
45.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%
35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 02 Andres Andrade

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-19
1 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 3
102 Service Points 71
55 First Serve In 34
39 First Serve Won 22
24 Second Serve Won 21
6 Break Points Saved 1
8 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.3 Average Odds 1.5
Clay Sarasota CH · 2025-04-07
0 Aces 0
5 Double Faults 5
72 Service Points 65
44 First Serve In 37
30 First Serve Won 20
16 Second Serve Won 13
6 Break Points Saved 7
8 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Santo Domingo CH · 2024-08-12
6 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 3
67 Service Points 61
42 First Serve In 46
29 First Serve Won 26
13 Second Serve Won 6
8 Break Points Saved 3
10 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

W L L W W L W W L L

Andres Andrade — Last 10

W L W W W W L W L W