ATP tennis predict — Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Alex Barrena

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · QF 21:30

Predicted probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

58.40%

Alex Barrena

Argentina

41.60%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.05

Market probability

54.52% / 45.48%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1745 vs 1685), fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.15) and a higher Elo rating (1710 vs 1678).

Player Comparison

1710.2 Elo 1678.0

1744.5 Elo (surface) 1685.1

92 Wins (Challenger) 88

83 Wins (surface) 88

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.068 Dominance ratio 0.948

164 Rank 240

21.6 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Alex Barrena

1st Serve In %

62.1%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

53.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Alex Barrena

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

50.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo and Alex Barrena have never played each other.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Alex Barrena — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

Alex Barrena — Last 10