ATP tennis predict — Juan Bautista Torres vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · R16 18:00

Predicted probability

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

35.05%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

64.95%

Average Odds

2.50 / 1.43

Market probability

36.39% / 63.61%

Why This Prediction?

Tomas Barrios Vera is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1756 vs 1652), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1728 vs 1647) and a better head-to-head record against Juan Bautista Torres (2-0).

Player Comparison

1651.5 Elo 1755.7

1646.9 Elo (surface) 1727.9

148 Wins (Challenger) 250

146 Wins (surface) 206

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.005 Dominance ratio 1.064

276 Rank 135

24.5 Age 28.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Bautista Torres Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

71.9%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.07

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.3%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.2%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Bautista Torres Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Bautista Torres 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera

Clay Curitiba challenger · 2026-09-30

R16

Tomas Barrios Vera #135

Juan Bautista Torres #276

6-2 6-3

0 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 25

7 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Lima 2 CH · 2025-11-03

QF

Tomas Barrios Vera #122

Juan Bautista Torres #381

7-6(2) 6-7(6) 7-6(10)

0 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

142 Service Points 161

85 First Serve In 125

55 First Serve Won 78

28 Second Serve Won 12

9 Break Points Saved 6

15 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Cali CH · 2025-10-06

SF

Tomas Barrios Vera #137

Juan Bautista Torres #418

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

64 Service Points 56

43 First Serve In 33

31 First Serve Won 16

8 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Juan Bautista Torres vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Juan Bautista Torres — Last 10

Tomas Barrios Vera — Last 10