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Juan Bautista Torres vs Nikolai Barsukov — Prediction

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

53.96%

Nikolai Barsukov

Germany

46.04%

Average Odds

1.20  /  4.21

Market probability

77.82%  /  22.18%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1543.2 Elo 1596.8
1559.3 Elo (surface) 1562.5
143 Wins (Challenger) 6
141 Wins (surface) 2
8 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.997 Dominance ratio 0.963
276 Rank 728
24.3 Age 19.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Nikolai Barsukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Bautista Torres Nikolai Barsukov

1st Serve In %

71.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%
56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.1%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Bautista Torres Nikolai Barsukov

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
52.4%

Break Points Converted %

57.4%
39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Bautista Torres 00 Nikolai Barsukov

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Juan Bautista Torres #266

Nikolai Barsukov #728

6-0 6-2
1 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
37 Service Points 37
31 First Serve In 21
23 First Serve Won 10
5 Second Serve Won 4
0 Break Points Saved 1
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Juan Bautista Torres — Last 10

L L W L W W L W W L

Nikolai Barsukov — Last 10

L L W L W W L W L L