ATP tennis predict — Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Cem Ilkel

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:10

Predicted probability

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Mexico

38.76%

Cem Ilkel

Turkey

61.24%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.92

Market probability

68.22% / 31.78%

Why This Prediction?

Cem Ilkel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1500 vs 1395), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1505 vs 1438) and more wins on hard courts (152 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1394.7 Elo 1499.9

1438.0 Elo (surface) 1504.9

33 Wins (Challenger) 174

17 Wins (surface) 152

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 0.860

471 Rank -

27.2 Age 31.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Cem Ilkel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano Cem Ilkel

1st Serve In %

64.8%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.3%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano Cem Ilkel

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

21.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 0 – 0 Cem Ilkel

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano #471

Cem Ilkel #-

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 57

48 First Serve In 32

36 First Serve Won 22

7 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Cem Ilkel — Prediction