Joshua Sheehy vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
2.75 / 1.41
Market probability
33.89% / 66.11%
Why This Prediction?
Ivan Marrero Curbelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1520 vs 1378), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1471 vs 1407) and a stronger return game (39.6% vs 31.9% of return points won).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Joshua Sheehy
10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Joshua Sheehy and Ivan Marrero Curbelo have never played each other.