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Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 18:00

Predicted probability

Jose Pereira

Brazil

26.53%

Mateus Alves

Brazil

73.47%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

Mateus Alves is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1526 vs 1447), a higher Elo rating (1485 vs 1441) and more wins on clay courts (79 vs 71).

Player Comparison

1440.6 Elo 1484.6
1446.7 Elo (surface) 1526.1
79 Wins (Challenger) 85
71 Wins (surface) 79
6 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.981 Dominance ratio 0.920
838 Rank 417
35.7 Age 25.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jose Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Mateus Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jose Pereira Mateus Alves

1st Serve In %

66.5%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.2%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%
42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%
20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.6%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jose Pereira Mateus Alves

Break Points Saved %

56.2%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%
31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jose Pereira and Mateus Alves have never played each other.

Jose Pereira — Last 10

W L L W W L L L W L

Mateus Alves — Last 10

L L L L L L W L L W