ATP tennis predict — Jose Pereira vs Lautaro Midon

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Jose Pereira

Brazil

16.44%

Lautaro Midon

Argentina

83.56%

Average Odds

6.03 / 1.09

Market probability

15.31% / 84.69%

Why This Prediction?

Lautaro Midon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1739 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1756 vs 1479) and more wins on clay courts (5 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1469.3 Elo 1738.7

1479.0 Elo (surface) 1755.8

82 Wins (Challenger) 77

74 Wins (surface) 68

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.981 Dominance ratio 0.938

778 Rank 206

35.7 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jose Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-29.

Lautaro Midon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jose Pereira Lautaro Midon

1st Serve In %

66.5%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.2%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.4%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.2%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.3%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.9%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.2%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jose Pereira Lautaro Midon

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.0%

53.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jose Pereira 0 – 1 Lautaro Midon

Clay Campinas CH · 2026-04-06

R32

Lautaro Midon #223

Jose Pereira #741

6-4 3-6 6-4

5 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 2

110 Service Points 95

54 First Serve In 63

31 First Serve Won 36

34 Second Serve Won 19

9 Break Points Saved 8

12 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jose Pereira vs Lautaro Midon — Prediction