ATP tennis predict — Jonas Forejtek vs Maxime Chazal

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

64.22%

Maxime Chazal

France

35.78%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.23

Market probability

58.99% / 41.01%

Why This Prediction?

Jonas Forejtek is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1597 vs 1504), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1569 vs 1485) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1596.8 Elo 1504.1

1569.3 Elo (surface) 1485.3

125 Wins (Challenger) 64

76 Wins (surface) 53

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.056 Dominance ratio 1.148

433 Rank 439

25.5 Age 33.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Maxime Chazal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Maxime Chazal

1st Serve In %

61.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.7%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

59.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Maxime Chazal

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

26.9%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jonas Forejtek and Maxime Chazal have never played each other.

Jonas Forejtek vs Maxime Chazal — Prediction