ATP tennis predict — Jonas Forejtek vs Francesco Passaro

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · F 16:00

Predicted probability

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

38.23%

Francesco Passaro

Italy

61.77%

Average Odds

2.77 / 1.40

Market probability

33.57% / 66.43%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1686), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1748 vs 1680) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1685.6 Elo 1776.1

1679.6 Elo (surface) 1747.7

132 Wins (Challenger) 126

83 Wins (surface) 108

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.056 Dominance ratio 0.746

343 Rank 229

25.6 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

61.0%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.7%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

35.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

26.9%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jonas Forejtek and Francesco Passaro have never played each other.

Jonas Forejtek vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction