ATP tennis predict — Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · SF 16:00

Predicted probability

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

37.29%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

62.71%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.71

Market probability

45.60% / 54.40%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1733 vs 1660), a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1669) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 57.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1669.0 Elo 1750.3

1660.2 Elo (surface) 1732.6

131 Wins (Challenger) 127

82 Wins (surface) 68

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.056 Dominance ratio 1.129

343 Rank 233

25.6 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

61.0%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.7%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.0%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.9%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.0%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

66.7%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jonas Forejtek Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

26.9%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

34.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jonas Forejtek and Alejandro Moro Canas have never played each other.

Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction