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John Sperle vs Giuseppe La Vela — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

John Sperle

Germany

54.27%

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

45.73%

Average Odds

1.84  /  1.84

Market probability

50.00%  /  50.00%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1493.2 Elo 1498.8
1497.5 Elo (surface) 1493.7
16 Wins (Challenger) 9
14 Wins (surface) 9
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.012 Dominance ratio 0.810
692 Rank 553
24.7 Age 26.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

John Sperle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

John Sperle Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.14
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

John Sperle Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%
53.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%
41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

John Sperle and Giuseppe La Vela have never played each other.

John Sperle — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L

Giuseppe La Vela — Last 10

L W L W W L W L L W