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John Echeverria vs Oliver Tarvet — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

John Echeverria

Spain

24.70%

Oliver Tarvet

Great Britain

75.30%

Average Odds

6.58  /  1.09

Market probability

14.21%  /  85.79%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Tarvet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1635 vs 1349), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1512 vs 1346) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1348.7 Elo 1635.0
1345.5 Elo (surface) 1512.3
9 Wins (Challenger) 7
8 Wins (surface) 5
6 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.939 Dominance ratio 0.806
587 Rank 380
24.7 Age 22.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

John Echeverria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Oliver Tarvet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

John Echeverria Oliver Tarvet

1st Serve In %

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%
72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%
33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

John Echeverria Oliver Tarvet

Break Points Saved %

70.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%
63.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

John Echeverria 00 Oliver Tarvet

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-18
6-3 6-4
1 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 3
67 Service Points 60
37 First Serve In 37
26 First Serve Won 27
11 Second Serve Won 15
5 Break Points Saved 0
8 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 6.6

John Echeverria — Last 10

L L L W L L L L L W

Oliver Tarvet — Last 10

L W W W W W W W W L