ATP tennis predict — Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Johannus Monday

Great Britain

57.87%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

42.13%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.53

Market probability

63.25% / 36.75%

Why This Prediction?

Johannus Monday is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (69.5% vs 56.6% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1556 vs 1545) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1556.3 Elo 1545.0

1541.1 Elo (surface) 1615.0

47 Wins (Challenger) 26

42 Wins (surface) 15

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.238 Dominance ratio 0.963

311 Rank 276

24.6 Age 23.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johannus Monday

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johannus Monday Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

60.4%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.5%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.1%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johannus Monday Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.8%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johannus Monday 0 – 0 Michele Ribecai

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-27

QF

Michele Ribecai #276

Johannus Monday #311

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 47

39 First Serve In 32

26 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction