ATP tennis predict — Johannus Monday vs Lui Maxted

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Johannus Monday

Great Britain

53.60%

Lui Maxted

Great Britain

46.40%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.36

Market probability

60.51% / 39.49%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1533.9 Elo 1581.0

1515.0 Elo (surface) 1588.9

46 Wins (Challenger) 11

41 Wins (surface) 8

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.248 Dominance ratio 1.165

311 Rank 362

24.6 Age 22.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johannus Monday

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lui Maxted

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johannus Monday Lui Maxted

1st Serve In %

60.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.69

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

69.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johannus Monday Lui Maxted

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.8%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johannus Monday 1 – 0 Lui Maxted

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Johannus Monday #311

Lui Maxted #362

1-6 6-3 7-6

11 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 3

75 Service Points 88

48 First Serve In 67

37 First Serve Won 45

16 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Nottingham CH · 2026-01-05

R32

Johannus Monday #233

Lui Maxted #492

4-6 7-6(5) 6-4

17 Aces 20

2 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 98

60 First Serve In 71

51 First Serve Won 54

18 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Johannus Monday vs Lui Maxted — Prediction