ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Vladyslav Orlov

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

78.86%

Vladyslav Orlov

Ukraine

21.14%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.39

Market probability

61.13% / 38.87%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1641 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1657 vs 1474) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1641.0 Elo 1438.9

1656.9 Elo (surface) 1474.0

62 Wins (Challenger) 52

54 Wins (surface) 35

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.163 Dominance ratio 1.233

391 Rank 501

29.5 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Vladyslav Orlov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Vladyslav Orlov

1st Serve In %

60.7%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

61.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

53.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

15.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.2%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

60.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Vladyslav Orlov

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

55.1%

57.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 1 – 0 Vladyslav Orlov

Clay Genoa CH · 2024-09-02

Q1

Johan Nikles #734

Vladyslav Orlov #551

6-7(3) 6-3 6-4

0 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 6

123 Service Points 99

82 First Serve In 60

44 First Serve Won 35

22 Second Serve Won 15

10 Break Points Saved 3

16 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Johan Nikles vs Vladyslav Orlov — Prediction