ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Saba Purtseladze

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

79.48%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

20.52%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.32

Market probability

72.17% / 27.83%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1638 vs 1338), a higher Elo rating (1619 vs 1449) and a stronger return game (45.4% vs 38.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1619.4 Elo 1449.4

1638.0 Elo (surface) 1338.1

59 Wins (Challenger) 29

51 Wins (surface) 5

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.163 Dominance ratio 0.966

424 Rank 578

29.5 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

60.7%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 0 – 0 Saba Purtseladze

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Johan Nikles #424

Saba Purtseladze #578

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 15

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Johan Nikles vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction