ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Miguel Damas

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

63.65%

Miguel Damas

Spain

36.35%

Average Odds

2.14 / 1.65

Market probability

43.54% / 56.46%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1649 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1667 vs 1577) and a stronger serve (54.3% vs 49.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1649.4 Elo 1580.3

1666.7 Elo (surface) 1576.9

63 Wins (Challenger) 67

55 Wins (surface) 55

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.163 Dominance ratio 1.132

399 Rank 349

29.5 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

60.7%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles and Miguel Damas have never played each other.

Johan Nikles vs Miguel Damas — Prediction