ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Matyas Cerny

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

73.33%

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

26.67%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.24

Market probability

58.33% / 41.67%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1644 vs 1448), a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1449) and more wins on clay courts (5 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1629.2 Elo 1448.6

1643.9 Elo (surface) 1448.3

60 Wins (Challenger) 12

52 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.163 Dominance ratio 1.156

424 Rank 780

29.5 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Matyas Cerny

1st Serve In %

60.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.10

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Matyas Cerny

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

43.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 0 – 0 Matyas Cerny

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Johan Nikles #397

Matyas Cerny #737

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 20

12 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Johan Nikles vs Matyas Cerny — Prediction