ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Lorenzo Rottoli

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

61.13%

Lorenzo Rottoli

Italy

38.87%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.47

Market probability

62.37% / 37.63%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1546 vs 1415), a higher Elo rating (1517 vs 1422) and more wins on clay courts (47 vs 14).

Player Comparison

1517.4 Elo 1422.3

1545.6 Elo (surface) 1414.5

55 Wins (Challenger) 19

47 Wins (surface) 14

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.031

424 Rank 901

29.4 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Lorenzo Rottoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Lorenzo Rottoli

1st Serve In %

60.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.10

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%

34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Lorenzo Rottoli

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 0 – 0 Lorenzo Rottoli

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Johan Nikles #424

Lorenzo Rottoli #901

7-5 2-6 7-5

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

97 Service Points 112

62 First Serve In 68

41 First Serve Won 40

12 Second Serve Won 20

7 Break Points Saved 8

13 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Johan Nikles vs Lorenzo Rottoli — Prediction