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Johan Nikles vs Kasra Rahmani — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

76.72%

Kasra Rahmani

Iran

23.28%

Average Odds

1.80  /  1.78

Market probability

49.72%  /  50.28%

Why This Prediction?

Johan Nikles is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1504 vs 1404), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1534 vs 1390) and more career match wins (54 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1504.4 Elo 1403.7
1533.5 Elo (surface) 1390.5
54 Wins (Challenger) 2
46 Wins (surface) 1
8 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.971 Dominance ratio 0.896
417 Rank 775
29.4 Age 20.0
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Kasra Rahmani

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Kasra Rahmani

1st Serve In %

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
55.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%
42.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%
28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Kasra Rahmani

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
54.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
36.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 00 Kasra Rahmani

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Johan Nikles #424

Kasra Rahmani #773

6-2 6-4
0 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 3
57 Service Points 58
25 First Serve In 34
20 First Serve Won 16
14 Second Serve Won 8
2 Break Points Saved 3
5 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.8

Johan Nikles — Last 10

L W W L W W W W W L

Kasra Rahmani — Last 8

L L L L W L L W