ATP tennis predict — Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

41.62%

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

58.38%

Average Odds

3.30 / 1.30

Market probability

28.26% / 71.74%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Bernet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1600 vs 1551), a stronger serve (65.0% vs 54.3% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.33 vs 0.04).

Player Comparison

1519.5 Elo 1579.7

1550.5 Elo (surface) 1600.4

54 Wins (Challenger) 10

46 Wins (surface) 9

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.935 Dominance ratio 0.853

420 Rank 436

29.4 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Henry Bernet

1st Serve In %

60.7%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Henry Bernet

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 0 – 0 Henry Bernet

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Henry Bernet #436

Johan Nikles #420

6-3 6-0

1 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 5

54 Service Points 42

35 First Serve In 26

17 First Serve Won 22

6 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 1

12 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet — Prediction