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Johan Nikles vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · R16 12:40

Predicted probability

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

50.65%

Filip Cristian Jianu

Romania

49.35%

Average Odds

3.37  /  1.30

Market probability

27.84%  /  72.16%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1555.4 Elo 1559.7
1585.5 Elo (surface) 1586.9
57 Wins (Challenger) 120
49 Wins (surface) 99
9 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.012 Dominance ratio 1.025
424 Rank 269
29.4 Age 25.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Filip Cristian Jianu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Filip Cristian Jianu

1st Serve In %

60.7%
75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%
62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%
44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.10
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%
54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.4%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.9%
43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Johan Nikles Filip Cristian Jianu

Break Points Saved %

57.0%
70.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%
58.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
58.8%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Johan Nikles 00 Filip Cristian Jianu

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-03
1 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
60 Service Points 50
39 First Serve In 35
24 First Serve Won 18
14 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 3
4 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Johan Nikles — Last 10

L W W L W W W W W L

Filip Cristian Jianu — Last 10

L L L L W L W W W L