ATP tennis predict — Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizek

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Joel Schwaerzler

Austria

74.02%

Jiri Cizek

Czech Republic

25.98%

Average Odds

1.11 / 5.87

Market probability

84.10% / 15.90%

Why This Prediction?

Joel Schwaerzler is the favorite because he has more career match wins (67 vs 3), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1635 vs 1607) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 57.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1570.4 Elo 1528.9

1634.6 Elo (surface) 1606.6

67 Wins (Challenger) 3

12 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.092 Dominance ratio 0.833

182 Rank 1358

20.5 Age 21.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joel Schwaerzler

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jiri Cizek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joel Schwaerzler Jiri Cizek

1st Serve In %

58.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.32

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

52.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joel Schwaerzler Jiri Cizek

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

27.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.8%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

55.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joel Schwaerzler 0 – 0 Jiri Cizek

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Joel Schwaerzler #182

Jiri Cizek #1358

6-3 6-1

3 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 6

46 Service Points 53

25 First Serve In 29

21 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.9

Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizek — Prediction