ATP tennis predict — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

83.22%

Santiago De La Fuente

Argentina

16.78%

Average Odds

1.05 / 7.50

Market probability

87.72% / 12.28%

Why This Prediction?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1661 vs 1416), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1686 vs 1430) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1660.8 Elo 1416.3

1686.0 Elo (surface) 1429.7

23 Wins (Challenger) 25

23 Wins (surface) 25

10 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.115 Dominance ratio 0.987

336 Rank 728

21.5 Age 24.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-17.

Santiago De La Fuente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Santiago De La Fuente

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.04

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

73.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

38.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

46.2%

40.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Santiago De La Fuente

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.7%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 1 – 0 Santiago De La Fuente

Clay San Miguel de Tucuman CH · 2025-04-21

Q1

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo #946

Santiago De La Fuente #859

6-2 7-6(4)

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

68 Service Points 64

47 First Serve In 44

31 First Serve Won 24

11 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente — Prediction