ATP tennis predict — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Villalon

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

85.41%

Nicolas Villalon

Chile

14.59%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.30

Market probability

85.25% / 14.75%

Why This Prediction?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1687 vs 1380), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1711 vs 1392) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1686.7 Elo 1380.1

1710.9 Elo (surface) 1391.7

25 Wins (Challenger) 16

25 Wins (surface) 14

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.115 Dominance ratio 1.204

342 Rank 712

21.5 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-17.

Nicolas Villalon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Nicolas Villalon

1st Serve In %

63.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.6%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

18.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.04

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.5%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

58.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Nicolas Villalon

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

0.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Nicolas Villalon have never played each other.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Villalon — Prediction