ATP tennis predict — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Mateo Del Pino

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

92.05%

Mateo Del Pino

Argentina

7.95%

Average Odds

1.02 / 13.83

Market probability

93.13% / 6.87%

Why This Prediction?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1571 vs 1328), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1601 vs 1338) and more wins on clay courts (18 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1570.9 Elo 1328.3

1600.9 Elo (surface) 1337.6

18 Wins (Challenger) 2

18 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.115 Dominance ratio 0.906

384 Rank 1095

21.4 Age 23.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-17.

Mateo Del Pino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Mateo Del Pino

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

52.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.04

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

57.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%

38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Mateo Del Pino

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 0 – 0 Mateo Del Pino

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - 1. round

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo #384

Mateo Del Pino #1095

6-1 6-2

1 Aces 1

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

2 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 13.8

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Mateo Del Pino — Prediction