ATP tennis predict — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Francisco Comesana

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · R16 01:20

Predicted probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

26.89%

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

73.11%

Average Odds

2.97 / 1.36

Market probability

31.41% / 68.59%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Comesana is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1806 vs 1644), a higher Elo rating (1796 vs 1617) and a stronger serve (68.0% vs 51.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1616.6 Elo 1796.4

1644.1 Elo (surface) 1806.2

21 Wins (Challenger) 110

21 Wins (surface) 105

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.115 Dominance ratio 1.048

384 Rank 126

21.5 Age 26.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-17.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Francisco Comesana

1st Serve In %

63.8%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.6%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.6%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.04

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Francisco Comesana

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Francisco Comesana have never played each other.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Francisco Comesana — Prediction