ATP tennis predict — Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Thiago Monteiro

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · R16 13:00

Predicted probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

31.68%

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

68.32%

Average Odds

2.92 / 1.37

Market probability

31.93% / 68.07%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Monteiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1764 vs 1648), a higher Elo rating (1763 vs 1634) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1634.3 Elo 1762.7

1647.6 Elo (surface) 1763.7

130 Wins (Challenger) 254

122 Wins (surface) 240

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 1.143

282 Rank 280

26.5 Age 32.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Thiago Monteiro

1st Serve In %

62.9%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.5%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.07

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Thiago Monteiro

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.0%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 0 – 0 Thiago Monteiro

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #282

Thiago Monteiro #280

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Thiago Monteiro — Prediction