ATP tennis predict — Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Mika Brunold

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · F 12:30

Predicted probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

30.04%

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

69.96%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.53

Market probability

39.03% / 60.97%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1779 vs 1696), a higher Elo rating (1774 vs 1682) and more aces per game (0.16 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1682.0 Elo 1773.9

1695.9 Elo (surface) 1778.9

133 Wins (Challenger) 71

125 Wins (surface) 44

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 1.015

282 Rank 410

26.5 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Mika Brunold

1st Serve In %

62.9%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.5%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.07

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Mika Brunold

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 0 – 0 Mika Brunold

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-13

F

Mika Brunold #410

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #282

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Mika Brunold — Prediction