ATP tennis predict — Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Lukas Neumayer

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · QF 14:45

Predicted probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

28.15%

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

71.85%

Average Odds

3.03 / 1.34

Market probability

30.66% / 69.34%

Why This Prediction?

Lukas Neumayer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1734 vs 1652), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1733 vs 1666) and a stronger serve (66.9% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1652.4 Elo 1734.2

1666.0 Elo (surface) 1733.2

131 Wins (Challenger) 117

123 Wins (surface) 107

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 0.846

282 Rank 191

26.5 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Lukas Neumayer

1st Serve In %

62.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.5%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.07

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Lukas Neumayer

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.0%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 0 – 0 Lukas Neumayer

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #282

Lukas Neumayer #191

7-6 6-4

7 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

31 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.3

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction