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Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · R16 17:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.75  /  1.22

Market probability

24.55%  /  75.45%

Why This Prediction?

Luis Guto Miguel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1651 vs 1530), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1631 vs 1552) and a stronger serve (60.6% vs 57.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1530.3 Elo 1651.1
1552.4 Elo (surface) 1630.7
22 Wins (Challenger) 9
21 Wins (surface) 6
9 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.117 Dominance ratio 1.031
512 Rank -
22.1 Age 17.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Luis Guto Miguel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl Luis Guto Miguel

1st Serve In %

—
66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
39.5%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%
57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%
69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%
48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.6%
55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl Luis Guto Miguel

Break Points Saved %

—
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—
60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
51.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Eduardo Schiessl and Luis Guto Miguel have never played each other.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl — Last 10

W L W W L L L W W L

Luis Guto Miguel — Last 10

W L W W W L L W W W