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Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Alan Magadan — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - round of 16 15:00

Predicted probability

Alan Magadan

Mexico

46.96%

Average Odds

1.82  /  1.89

Market probability

50.94%  /  49.06%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1531.7 Elo 1633.0
1551.1 Elo (surface) 1546.7
23 Wins (Challenger) 20
22 Wins (surface) 8
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.117 Dominance ratio 0.868
512 Rank 514
22.1 Age 25.4
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-10-01.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl Alan Magadan

1st Serve In %

—
52.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
52.2%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.6%
65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.2%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl Alan Magadan

Break Points Saved %

—
36.1%

Break Points Converted %

—
37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%
61.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%
34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Eduardo Schiessl and Alan Magadan have never played each other.

Joao Eduardo Schiessl — Last 10

W L W L W W L L L W

Alan Magadan — Last 10

W L W W W L W L W W