ATP tennis predict — Joao Domingues vs Timofey Skatov

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Joao Domingues

Portugal

32.03%

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

67.97%

Average Odds

4.08 / 1.21

Market probability

22.87% / 77.13%

Why This Prediction?

Timofey Skatov is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (69.7% vs 53.6% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1628 vs 1595) and a stronger return game (36.7% vs 30.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1594.5 Elo 1627.8

1619.4 Elo (surface) 1652.5

28 Wins 42

23 Wins (surface) 24

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.653 Dominance ratio 1.210

591 Rank 163

32.8 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Domingues

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Domingues Timofey Skatov

1st Serve In %

65.3%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.2%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Domingues Timofey Skatov

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.8%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Domingues 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Timofey Skatov #163

Joao Domingues #591

6-4 6-7 6-4

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

100 Service Points 97

67 First Serve In 67

35 First Serve Won 47

15 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Clay Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 CH · 2022-03-07

R16

Timofey Skatov #221

Joao Domingues #305

7-6(5) 6-2

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

65 Service Points 80

55 First Serve In 48

32 First Serve Won 19

6 Second Serve Won 20

6 Break Points Saved 8

10 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Joao Domingues vs Timofey Skatov — Prediction