ATP tennis predict — Joao Domingues vs Andrej Martin

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Joao Domingues

Portugal

29.76%

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

70.24%

Average Odds

1.93 / 1.79

Market probability

48.12% / 51.88%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1604 vs 1471), a higher Elo rating (1611 vs 1478) and a stronger serve (65.3% vs 56.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1477.7 Elo 1611.4

1470.6 Elo (surface) 1604.5

116 Wins (Challenger) 337

107 Wins (surface) 290

6 Last 15 form 7

3 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 1.329

584 Rank 387

33.0 Age 37.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Joao Domingues

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Domingues Andrej Martin

1st Serve In %

65.3%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.4%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.7%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

58.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.06

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Joao Domingues Andrej Martin

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.2%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Joao Domingues 3 – 0 Andrej Martin

Clay Parma CH · 2022-06-13

Q2

Joao Domingues #333

Andrej Martin #169

6-1 6-1

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 2

43 Service Points 44

25 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 15

10 Second Serve Won 4

5 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Marbella CH · 2020-10-26

R32

Joao Domingues #174

Andrej Martin #102

6-3 3-6 7-6(7)

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

96 Service Points 89

73 First Serve In 67

43 First Serve Won 40

7 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Cordenons CH · 2018-08-13

R16

Joao Domingues #247

Andrej Martin #160

6-4 3-6 6-1

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

85 Service Points 76

57 First Serve In 52

35 First Serve Won 28

15 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Joao Domingues vs Andrej Martin — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Joao Domingues — Last 10

Andrej Martin — Last 10