ATP tennis predict — Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs

ATP Hard Tokyo · 1. round 03:00

Predicted probability

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

70.62%

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

29.38%

Average Odds

1.37 / 3.05

Market probability

69.00% / 31.00%

Why This Prediction?

Jiri Lehecka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2058 vs 1938), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1991 vs 1843) and a stronger serve (70.4% vs 64.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

2057.6 Elo 1938.1

1990.8 Elo (surface) 1843.3

163 Wins 112

112 Wins (surface) 70

9 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.310 Dominance ratio 1.065

23 Rank 38

24.9 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Zizou Bergs

1st Serve In %

60.4%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Zizou Bergs

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka 1 – 0 Zizou Bergs

Hard Doha · 2026-02-16

R16

Jiri Lehecka #22

Zizou Bergs #44

6-2 6-1

9 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 4

49 Service Points 35

28 First Serve In 20

24 First Serve Won 11

10 Second Serve Won 3

3 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs — Prediction