ATP tennis predict — Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 20:45

Predicted probability

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

52.51%

Toby Samuel

Great Britain

47.49%

Average Odds

1.35 / 3.25

Market probability

70.65% / 29.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1808.5 Elo 1794.7

1792.0 Elo (surface) 1883.7

162 Wins 8

111 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.264 Dominance ratio 1.251

19 Rank 110

24.8 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Toby Samuel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Toby Samuel

1st Serve In %

60.4%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Toby Samuel

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka 0 – 0 Toby Samuel

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Jiri Lehecka #19

Toby Samuel #110

6-4 6-2 6-4

7 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 5

81 Service Points 84

50 First Serve In 54

39 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 11

24 Winners 28

19 Unforced Errors 41

1.4 Average Odds 3.2

Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel — Prediction