ATP tennis predict — Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar

ATP Hard Shanghai · 3. round 07:30

Predicted probability

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

45.04%

Rafael Jodar

Spain

54.96%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.13

Market probability

55.47% / 44.53%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

2093.7 Elo 2115.5

2033.4 Elo (surface) 1990.9

168 Wins 47

117 Wins (surface) 26

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.310 Dominance ratio 1.130

19 Rank 13

24.9 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–1L · 90.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Rafael Jodar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Rafael Jodar

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.5%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

37.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

57.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Rafael Jodar

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

77.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka 0 – 1 Rafael Jodar

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-09

R16

Rafael Jodar #15

Jiri Lehecka #12

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

57 Service Points 52

32 First Serve In 28

19 First Serve Won 24

11 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

11 Winners 14

34 Unforced Errors 10

1.8 Average Odds 2.1

Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar — Prediction