ATP tennis predict — Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

72.66%

Nuno Borges

Portugal

27.34%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.24

Market probability

70.74% / 29.26%

Why This Prediction?

Jiri Lehecka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2086 vs 1958), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2025 vs 1879) and a stronger return game (38.8% vs 36.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

2086.2 Elo 1958.4

2024.7 Elo (surface) 1879.1

167 Wins 112

116 Wins (surface) 63

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.310 Dominance ratio 1.107

19 Rank 51

24.9 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Nuno Borges

1st Serve In %

60.2%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.4%

80.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.2%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Nuno Borges

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

31.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka 1 – 0 Nuno Borges

Clay Davis Cup QLS R1: CZE vs POR · 2023-02-04

RR

Jiri Lehecka #39

Nuno Borges #105

6-4 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges — Prediction