ATP tennis predict — Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 3. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

50.85%

Arthur Fils

France

49.15%

Average Odds

2.32 / 1.60

Market probability

40.82% / 59.18%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1807.6 Elo 1857.0

1791.8 Elo (surface) 1845.8

161 Wins 124

110 Wins (surface) 71

9 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 3

1.234 Dominance ratio 0.741

14 Rank 21

24.8 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Arthur Fils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Arthur Fils

1st Serve In %

60.4%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.1%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jiri Lehecka Arthur Fils

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

47.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka 2 – 3 Arthur Fils

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-18

3. round

Arthur Fils #21

Jiri Lehecka #14

6-1 6-7 6-3

5 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 4

88 Service Points 86

57 First Serve In 53

38 First Serve Won 40

16 Second Serve Won 24

5 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 4

19 Winners 25

50 Unforced Errors 35

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Madrid Masters · 2026-04-22

QF

Arthur Fils #25

Jiri Lehecka #14

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 52

35 First Serve In 39

30 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Miami Masters · 2026-03-18

SF

Jiri Lehecka #22

Arthur Fils #31

6-2 6-2

6 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 3

45 Service Points 62

33 First Serve In 41

27 First Serve Won 25

6 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Doha · 2026-02-16

QF

Arthur Fils #40

Jiri Lehecka #22

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 69

46 First Serve In 45

32 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canada Masters · 2025-07-27

R32

Jiri Lehecka #27

Arthur Fils #21

3-6 6-3 6-4

12 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 1

88 Service Points 76

50 First Serve In 54

42 First Serve Won 41

17 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Davis Cup Finals RR: CZE vs FRA · 2024-09-14

RR

Arthur Fils #25

Jiri Lehecka #37

6-7(5) 7-5 6-4

13 Aces 15

4 Double Faults 2

111 Service Points 107

66 First Serve In 69

50 First Serve Won 49

25 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Jiri Lehecka — Last 10

Arthur Fils — Last 10