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Jin So Lee vs Moez Echargui — Prediction

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Jin So Lee

USA

17.92%

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

82.08%

Average Odds

7.01  /  1.08

Market probability

13.35%  /  86.65%

Why This Prediction?

Moez Echargui is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1449 vs 1437) and more wins on hard courts (42 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1445.9 Elo 1438.3
1437.4 Elo (surface) 1448.9
0 Wins 13
0 Wins (surface) 6
0 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.786 Dominance ratio 0.786
1769 Rank 151
None Age 33.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jin So Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jin So Lee Moez Echargui

1st Serve In %

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jin So Lee Moez Echargui

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jin So Lee and Moez Echargui have never played each other.

Jin So Lee — Last 0

No recent matches found.

Moez Echargui — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L W