ATP tennis predict — Jie Cui vs Yi Zhou

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · R16 10:30

Predicted probability

Jie Cui

China

36.57%

Yi Zhou

China

63.43%

Average Odds

2.63 / 1.45

Market probability

35.54% / 64.46%

Why This Prediction?

Yi Zhou is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1574), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1600 vs 1564) and a stronger serve (63.1% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1573.5 Elo 1638.7

1563.5 Elo (surface) 1600.3

52 Wins (Challenger) 45

51 Wins (surface) 39

7 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.040 Dominance ratio 1.076

454 Rank 248

28.6 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Yi Zhou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Yi Zhou

1st Serve In %

65.4%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Yi Zhou

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui 1 – 2 Yi Zhou

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Yi Zhou #248

Jie Cui #454

7-6 6-4

6 Aces 14

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 35

12 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Phan Thiet 2 CH · 2026-01-26

R32

Yi Zhou #238

Jie Cui #422

6-3 7-6(4)

15 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 5

84 Service Points 66

53 First Serve In 37

40 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 11

8 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Shenzhen Futian CH · 2025-10-13

SF

Yi Zhou #327

Jie Cui #342

6-7(6) 6-4 7-5

17 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 0

93 Service Points 102

60 First Serve In 65

51 First Serve Won 48

19 Second Serve Won 19

0 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Guangzhou CH · 2025-04-28

R32

Jie Cui #299

Yi Zhou #369

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 7

61 Service Points 65

33 First Serve In 36

25 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jie Cui vs Yi Zhou — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui — Last 10

Yi Zhou — Last 10