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Jie Cui vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 10:45

Predicted probability

Jie Cui

China

19.49%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

80.51%

Average Odds

3.12  /  1.34

Market probability

30.04%  /  69.96%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Altmaier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1862 vs 1554), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1738 vs 1533) and a stronger return game (43.7% vs 37.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1554.2 Elo 1861.9
1533.1 Elo (surface) 1738.1
3 Wins 117
3 Wins (surface) 44
3 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.797 Dominance ratio 0.987
458 Rank 67
28.7 Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

65.4%
61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%
43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%
38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

54.9%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

26.3%
33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui and Daniel Altmaier have never played each other.

Jie Cui — Last 10

L L W L L W W L W L

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W L