ATP tennis predict — Jie Cui vs Aziz Ouakaa

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 07:10

Predicted probability

Jie Cui

China

61.58%

Aziz Ouakaa

Tunisia

38.42%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.08

Market probability

69.68% / 30.32%

Why This Prediction?

Jie Cui is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1531 vs 1436), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1527 vs 1447) and more wins on hard courts (48 vs 14).

Player Comparison

1531.4 Elo 1435.9

1527.0 Elo (surface) 1446.6

49 Wins (Challenger) 16

48 Wins (surface) 14

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.860 Dominance ratio 0.752

450 Rank 494

28.5 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Aziz Ouakaa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Aziz Ouakaa

1st Serve In %

65.4%

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Aziz Ouakaa

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui 0 – 0 Aziz Ouakaa

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Jie Cui #450

Aziz Ouakaa #494

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 2

64 Service Points 49

35 First Serve In 26

22 First Serve Won 19

7 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Jie Cui vs Aziz Ouakaa — Prediction