ATP tennis predict — Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 09:45

Predicted probability

Jie Cui

China

19.94%

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

80.06%

Average Odds

2.77 / 1.41

Market probability

33.73% / 66.27%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1762 vs 1556) and a stronger serve (74.9% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1580.0 Elo 1783.9

1556.0 Elo (surface) 1761.8

4 Wins 120

4 Wins (surface) 81

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.797 Dominance ratio 1.680

458 Rank 112

28.7 Age 30.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Aleksandar Vukic

1st Serve In %

67.3%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

80.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

1.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

78.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Aleksandar Vukic

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui and Aleksandar Vukic have never played each other.

Jie Cui vs Aleksandar Vukic — Prediction