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Jie Cui vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Prediction

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Jie Cui

China

26.14%

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

73.86%

Average Odds

3.41  /  1.30

Market probability

27.60%  /  72.40%

Why This Prediction?

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1559), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1606 vs 1548) and a stronger return game (42.1% vs 37.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1559.4 Elo 1859.2
1547.8 Elo (surface) 1605.7
3 Wins 20
3 Wins (surface) 6
3 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.797 Dominance ratio 1.026
456 Rank 58
28.7 Age 22.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

1st Serve In %

65.4%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%
73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%
55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%
62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%
35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jie Cui Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Break Points Saved %

51.1%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%
54.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%
50.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jie Cui and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo have never played each other.

Jie Cui — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L W