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Jesse Delaney vs Kaichi Uchida — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - 1. round 08:10

Predicted probability

Jesse Delaney

Australia

27.47%

Kaichi Uchida

Japan

72.53%

Average Odds

4.35  /  1.17

Market probability

21.20%  /  78.80%

Why This Prediction?

Kaichi Uchida is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1461 vs 1260), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1474 vs 1271) and more wins on hard courts (137 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1259.6 Elo 1461.4
1271.3 Elo (surface) 1473.5
8 Wins (Challenger) 166
7 Wins (surface) 137
3 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.165 Dominance ratio 0.791
1149 Rank 386
27.9 Age 32.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jesse Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Kaichi Uchida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jesse Delaney Kaichi Uchida

1st Serve In %

—
62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
48.7%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%
28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.2%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jesse Delaney Kaichi Uchida

Break Points Saved %

—
63.2%

Break Points Converted %

—
33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%
44.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%
34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jesse Delaney and Kaichi Uchida have never played each other.

Jesse Delaney — Last 10

L W W L L L L L L W

Kaichi Uchida — Last 10

L W L L L L L L L L